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A paper audited 24 AGI predictions from 1950 to 2026: 79% of them aren't even falsifiable

This story is from 2026-09-15. It is preserved in the archive; the latest stories are on the live feed.

I came across "Not Even Wrong 2: An Audit of Public AGI Prediction, 1950–2026" by Luciano Floridi, Jessica Morley, and Claudio Novelli through a Medium post (I put the link at the end of my explanation). The audit has two stages: before determining whether a prediction came true, it first checks wh…

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  1. 2026-09-15 04:47 · r/ArtificialInteligence
    A paper audited 24 AGI predictions from 1950 to 2026: 79% of them aren't even falsifiable

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