Anthropic published a model of its own product's effect on the labor market. The extreme scenario has cognitive unemployment at 17.9% and labor's share of GDP falling from 60% to 45%.
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Three scenarios, explicitly not predictions, no probabilities attached. Modest is internet-sized at 1.6% GDP above the no-AI path by 2030. Substantial is 8.3%. Extreme is 32.4%. In the extreme case: cognitive unemployment 17.9%, overall 11.9%, which is past any postwar US peak. Cognitive wages 11.5…
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- 2026-09-10 13:43 · r/artificial
Anthropic published a model of its own product's effect on the labor market. The extreme scenario has cognitive unemployment at 17.9% and labor's share of GDP falling from 60% to 45%.
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