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Beyond Overlap: Estimating the Causal Effect of Benchmark Exposure

arXiv:2609.27176v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Evidence that evaluation material entered training does not reveal how much it affected evaluation. This distinction leaves a contaminated benchmark score difficult to interpret: provenance can establish contact, but only a counterfactual can quantify…

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  1. 2026-09-24 04:00 · arXiv cs.CL
    Beyond Overlap: Estimating the Causal Effect of Benchmark Exposure

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