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Competence-Gated Pooling of Language Models and Priors for Event Forecasting

This story is from 2026-09-14. It is preserved in the archive; the latest stories are on the live feed.

arXiv:2609.12101v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: In hybrid forecasting, a language model is often one of several available signals. A system may already have a market, crowd, or statistical forecast and must decide whether the model adds useful information or should be ignored. The relevant target i…

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  1. 2026-09-14 04:00 · arXiv cs.AI
    Competence-Gated Pooling of Language Models and Priors for Event Forecasting

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