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Finite-Sample Optimal Conformal Prediction Sets under Covariate Shift

arXiv:2610.37866v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: We study conformal prediction under covariate shift with a known covariate density ratio, seeking prediction sets with minimum expected length under the target distribution. For every calibration sample size, we prove that the rule combining the inver…

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  1. 2026-10-30 04:00 · arXiv stat.ML
    Finite-Sample Optimal Conformal Prediction Sets under Covariate Shift

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