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How to Calculate Expected Value for a Polymarket Trading Bot in Python

This story is from 2026-10-14. It is preserved in the archive; the latest stories are on the live feed.

A Polymarket trading bot can identify a promising outcome and still make a poor entry. The problem is that predicting what will happen and determining whether a trade is worth taking are two different tasks. A bot might estimate that an outcome has a 65% chance of winning. But if the price is alrea…

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  1. 2026-10-14 10:33 · DEV Community — AI
    How to Calculate Expected Value for a Polymarket Trading Bot in Python

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