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If recursive self-improvement becomes real, how likely is a major catastrophe?

Let's define a major catastrophe as something that leads to the death of at least 100 million human beings. As of right now, we don't know whether LLMs can be scaled much further beyond their current abilities and give rise to superintelligence. From the standpoint of an LLM skeptic, it makes a lot…

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  1. 2026-09-23 06:50 · r/agi
    If recursive self-improvement becomes real, how likely is a major catastrophe?

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