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Information-Geometric Blind Spots of Conformal Test Martingales

arXiv:2610.23131v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Conformal test martingales (CTMs) are e-processes for sequentially testing exchangeability via p-values produced by a conformity function $A$. However, any distribution shift that preserves the push-forward $P\circ A^{-1}$ leaves the p-value distribut…

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  1. 2026-10-19 04:00 · arXiv stat.ML
    Information-Geometric Blind Spots of Conformal Test Martingales

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