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My Football Model Passed Validation. A Five-Check Audit Killed It.

My football prediction model passed validation. Val away CLV was +152 bps, confidence interval excluded zero. Then I ran five forensic checks. Four failed, one passed, and the pass made the four failures harder to argue away. The experiment The hypothesis: EPL bookmakers systematically underprice h…

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  1. 2026-09-27 07:08 · DEV Community — Machine Learning
    My Football Model Passed Validation. A Five-Check Audit Killed It.

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