Ranked Right, Sized Wrong: Ensemble Spread Fails Silently at Streamflow Extremes
arXiv:2610.20947v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Deep learning models, particularly Long Short-Term Memory networks, are increasingly used for operational streamflow forecasting, with ensemble spread providing a signal of predictive uncertainty. As climate change increases the frequency of hydroclim…
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- 2026-10-16 04:00 · arXiv stat.ML
Ranked Right, Sized Wrong: Ensemble Spread Fails Silently at Streamflow Extremes