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Rollcast: Proper-Score Gated Rolling Anchors for Adaptive Probabilistic Time-Series Forecasting

This story is from 2026-09-09. It is preserved in the archive; the latest stories are on the live feed.

arXiv:2609.05561v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Rollcast is a probabilistic forecasting method for univariate time series that combines a compact set of rolling statistical anchors rather than relying on a single global model. Rolling means, medians, extrema, regression endpoints, and quantiles def…

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  1. 2026-09-09 04:00 · arXiv stat.ML
    Rollcast: Proper-Score Gated Rolling Anchors for Adaptive Probabilistic Time-Series Forecasting

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