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Sharp training-conditional coverage for conformal prediction under covariate shift

arXiv:2609.33456v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Weighted split conformal prediction reweights calibration scores by the likelihood ratio between the test and training covariate distributions and guarantees marginal coverage under covariate shift. We study its coverage conditional on the calibration…

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  1. 2026-09-29 04:00 · arXiv stat.ML
    Sharp training-conditional coverage for conformal prediction under covariate shift

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