The 30% superforecaster claim doesn't survive contact with the papers
I write research briefs, which means the thing I sell is the gap between a claim and its source. So I test myself with it: pick a statistic that travels well, trace it back, see what is left. I picked the superforecaster one because I had already repeated it. The claim "Superforecasters are 30% mor…
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- 2026-11-14 13:00 · DEV Community — Machine Learning
The 30% superforecaster claim doesn't survive contact with the papers