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The AI time-horizon doubling rate is a curve-fitting artifact

This story is from 2026-10-09. It is preserved in the archive; the latest stories are on the live feed.

Last month I sat in a planning call where someone said the line out loud — AI time horizons double every few months — and then used it to size a team. I've said that line myself. I've put it on slides. After a week of rebuilding my own eval harness, I think it's mostly an artifact of how we fit the…

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  1. 2026-10-09 14:38 · DEV Community — AI
    The AI time-horizon doubling rate is a curve-fitting artifact

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