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The People Building AI Are the Worst at Predicting It

This story is from 2026-08-22. It is preserved in the archive; the latest stories are on the live feed.

I graded 18 dated AI predictions from the last two years against what actually happened. The scoreboard is brutal, and the one guy who scored well got nothing for it. In March 2025, Dario Amodei told the Council on Foreign Relations that AI would be writing 90% of code within three to six months, a…

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  1. 2026-08-22 23:22 · DEV Community — AI
    The People Building AI Are the Worst at Predicting It

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