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Unit-level aggregation breaks coverage in causal foundation models

arXiv:2610.22770v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Causal foundation models (CFMs) show promising results for treatment-effect estimation, with unit-level estimates that are competitive on standard benchmarks. Many causal analyses, however, inform decisions through effects averaged over groups of unit…

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  1. 2026-10-19 04:00 · arXiv stat.ML
    Unit-level aggregation breaks coverage in causal foundation models

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