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What Next-Event Accuracy Cannot See: Closed-Loop Evaluation of Emergency Department Trajectory Simulators

arXiv:2609.31635v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Clinical trajectory models are usually evaluated by next-event accuracy on observed histories. Simulation is different: models must condition on their own generated events, allowing errors to compound. Although this problem is well known in sequence m…

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  1. 2026-09-29 04:00 · arXiv cs.LG
    What Next-Event Accuracy Cannot See: Closed-Loop Evaluation of Emergency Department Trajectory Simulators

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