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XGBoost vs Human Markets [P]

This story is from 2026-09-17. It is preserved in the archive; the latest stories are on the live feed.

What is the generally thought of as the upper limit of the predictive power of XGBoost vs an aggregate of humans? Right now I feed the model the same information that the human market has access to, and the model gets crushed on Top 1 accuracy, it closes the gap a bit but is still 10pp below the ma…

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Timeline · 2 reports

  1. 2026-09-17 16:00 · r/MLQuestions
    XGBoost vs Human Markets [P]
  2. 2026-09-17 15:59 · r/MachineLearning
    XGBoost vs Human Markets [P]

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