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Conformal Bayes under Continuous Label Shift: Sensitivity Analysis and the Limits of Exact Validity

arXiv:2609.27976v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Conformal Bayes combines Bayesian posterior predictive scores with conformal calibration, but under continuous label shift both the score and calibration weight depend on the unknown response-marginal density ratio. Existing methods typically estimate…

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  1. 2026-09-24 04:00 · arXiv stat.ML
    Conformal Bayes under Continuous Label Shift: Sensitivity Analysis and the Limits of Exact Validity

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